Typhoon Warren, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Huaning,[1] struck the Philippines and China during July1988. An area of disturbed weather developed within the vicinity of the Caroline Islands during the second week of July. A tropical depression developed southeast of Guam on July12, and on the next day, intensified into a tropical storm. Tracking generally west-northwest, Warren deepened into a typhoon on July14. The storm subsequently entered a period of rapid intensification, commencing with Warren reaching its highest intensity on July16. The following evening, the typhoon brushed Luzon, resulting in a weakening trend, although Warren was still a typhoon when it made landfall near Shantou. Warren rapidly dissipated inland.
Across the Philippines, 3,560 houses were damaged and 21,329 more were destroyed, displacing 19,224 families. Six people were killed and damage was estimated at US$11.4million. In Hong Kong, severe flooding occurred, especially in low-lying areas, several trees were downed, and there were reports of five landslides. There, 13 people were injured. In Shantou, six people died, 106 were injured, 4,500 homes were destroyed and 38,000 were damaged. Throughout Guangdong Province, 150,000 homes were damaged and 13,000 were destroyed. Overall, 17 people died and 153 were wounded. Financial damage was estimated at $270million.[nb 1]
Meteorological history
Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Typhoon Warren developed from an area of disorganized convection in the eastern Caroline Islands that was first noted by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) on July11. An increase in organization and improved upper-level outflow promoted the JTWC to raise its development chances. A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert was issued for the system, which was located around 330km (205mi) southeast of Guam, at 05:30UTC on July12.[2] Shortly thereafter, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) declared the system a tropical depression[3][nb 2][nb 3] At noon, satellite images showed a central dense overcast and satellite intensity estimates supported winds of 55km/h (35mph). At 16:00UTC on July12, the JTWC classified the system as a tropical depression. Tracking westward, the depression passed within 100km (60mi) north of Guam. On the morning of July 13, the depression was upgraded into Tropical Storm Warren by the JTWC,[2] although post-storm analysis revealed that the depression actually became a tropical storm late on July12.[6] At 00:00 UTC on July 14, the JMA declared the system a tropical storm,[6] with the JTWC upgrading Warren to a typhoon that evening.[2]
Tracking west-northwestward[7] while also accelerating, Warren continued to gradually deepen. On the morning of July15, the JMA designated Warren a severe tropical storm.[3] At the time of the upgrade, Warren was located around 1,360km (845mi) east of Manila.[7] Twenty-four hours later, the JMA upped Warren into a typhoon.[3] Around this time, the storm entered a rapid intensification phase, with the JTWC estimating that Warren reached its peak intensity of 210km/h (130mph), equal to a low-end Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, on July16.[2] Around the same time, the JMA estimated that Warren achieved its peak intensity of 105mph (170km/h) and a minimum barometric pressure of 940mbar (28inHg).[3]
While tracking across the Philippine Sea, many tropical cyclone forecast models showed Warren tracking northward near Taiwan and eventually recurving out to sea. Forecasters at the JTWC continued to predict a westward motion because satellite imagery and mid-level synoptic analysis showed a subtropical ridge to its north.[2] According to the JTWC, the typhoon weakened slightly on July17, though data from the JMA suggested that Warren maintained its maximum intensity[6] until Warren skirted Luzon that evening. Land interaction resulted in some weakening,[2] with the JTWC and JMA lowering the intensity of the typhoon to 175km/h (110mph) and 145km/h (90mph) at 00:00UTC on July18.[6] After entering the South China Sea,[7] Warren made landfall near the city of Shantou on the morning of July19.[2] At the time, the JTWC estimated winds of 135km/h (85mph) while the JMA reported winds of 120km/h (75mph).[6] The storm rapidly weakened overland, and the storm dissipated on July20 over the province of Guangdong.[7]
Preparations and impact
The inner core of the typhoon brushed the northern Philippines, prompting flooding that resulted in the suspension of classes. Around 60people fled their homes in Baguio.[8] Somewhere in the northern portion of the country, a man was killed when his motorcycle skidded on a slippery road as he went to inspect storm damage. Nationwide, the storm damaged 11,635ha (28,750 acres) of rice and 28,530ha (70,500 acres) of corn. Approximately 1,600families lost access to drinking water.[9] A total of 3,560homes were damaged and an additional 21,329were destroyed, which resulted in 102,169people or 19,224families that either sought shelter or were homeless. Six people were killed in the country.[10] The storm inflicted US$11.4million in damage to the country, including $10.1million from infrastructure.[11]
Further north, in Hong Kong, a No 1. hurricane signal was issued on July18. Later that day, the signal was increased to a No. 3 signal, but on July20, all signals were dropped. A minimum pressure of 995.3mbar (29.39inHg) was recorded at the Hong Kong Royal Observatory (HKO) on July19, when the storm made its closest approach to Hong Kong. Tai Mo Shan recorded a peak wind speed of 87km/h (54mph). Meanwhile, Tate's Cairn observed a peak wind gust of 133km/h (83mph). North Point observed 302mm (11.9in) of rain over a five-day period, including 459mm (18.1in) in a 24-hour period. In Hong Kong, severe flooding occurred, especially in low-lying areas, several trees were downed, and five minor landslides were reported. Many village houses were submerged. In Sheung Shui, more than 20people were stranded. About 100ha (250 acres) of ponds were flooded and 220t (245 short tons) of fish were lost, worth $760,000. In addition, 270ha (670 acres) of agricultural land were also flooded, resulting in the drownings of 1,370pigs and 133,000poultry. Along the Tuen Mun Highway, a 15m (50ft) tree collapsed, damaging a van and injuring two men. Seventeen flights were called off at the airport and ferry services to Tap Mun, Macau, and mainland China were suspended. Throughout Hong Kong, 12people were injured and a 5-year-old boy was reported missing after falling into the sea at a local park.[7]
Throughout Shantou, six people were killed and 106people were injured. There, 50,000t (55,000 short tons) of food were lost. About 4,500 houses and 14,000huts collapsed, and 38,000houses sustained damage. About 178,000ha (439,850 acres) of agricultural area were destroyed, of which 68,000ha (168,030 acres) were paddy fields. In addition, seven ships sunk and another 178 were damaged.[7] Twenty-seven electricity sub-stations were destroyed and five hydroelectric power stations were damaged.[12] In Jieyang, 749powerlines were downed.[13] In Qiqihar, 14,000structures were destroyed.[14] The city of Canton, to the southwest of Shantou, was spared by the typhoon. Across Guangdong Province, power and phone service was knocked out for 24 hours.[15] Province-wide, 13,000homes were demolished, with 150,000 others damaged. A total of 270bridges in addition to 620mi (1,000km) of telephone lines and roughly 770 kilometres (480mi) of roads were destroyed.[16] Close to 1,000,000t (1,100,000 short tons) of crops were flooded.[17] According to press reports, 17people were killed and 153 injured.[2] Damage was estimated at $270million,[17] including $9.5million from rice fields and $6million from fruit trees.[15]
↑Wind estimates from the JMA and most other basins throughout the world are sustained over 10minutes, while estimates from the United States-based Joint Typhoon Warning Center are sustained over 1minute. 10minute winds are about 1.14 times the amount of 1minute winds.[5]
12345678Joint Typhoon Warning Center; Naval Pacific Meteorology and Oceanography Center (1989). Annual Tropical Cyclone Report: 1987(PDF) (Report). United States Navy, United States Air Force. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
↑Christopher W Landsea; Hurricane Research Division (April 26, 2004). "Subject: D4) What does "maximum sustained wind" mean? How does it relate to gusts in tropical cyclones?". Frequently Asked Questions. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
12345Kenneth R. Knapp; Michael C. Kruk; David H. Levinson; Howard J. Diamond; Charles J. Neumann (2010). 1988 Typhoon Warren (1988193N09149). The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IRACS): Unifying tropical cyclone best track data (Report). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
↑"Typhoon triggers flooding, evacuations". United Press International. July 18, 1988. –viaLexis Nexis (subscription required)
↑"International News". United Press International. July 19, 1988. –viaLexis Nexis (subscription required)
↑Destructive Typhoons 1970–2003 (Report). National Disaster Coordinating Council. November 9, 2004. Archived from the original on November 9, 2004. Retrieved August 15, 2018.
↑Destructive Typhoons 1970–2003 (Report). National Disaster Coordinating Council. November 9, 2004. Archived from the original on August 24, 2012. Retrieved August 15, 2018.
↑"Six in south China killed by typhoon". The Globe and Mail. July 21, 1988. –viaLexis Nexis (subscription required)
↑"typhoon warren hits hard". Xinhua General News Service. July 21, 1988. –viaLexis Nexis (subscription required)
